COVID-19: Consistent and Rapid Decline in COVID-19 Can Only be Explained by Herd Immunity

2021-03-09 - SEND FEEDBACK

Related: ethics in medicine, gears of the machine, SARS-CoV-2 aka COVID-19 aka Coronavirus

Spot-on.

And damn good news, which you should extirpate from your day (the propaganda and hypnosis stuff formerly known as “news”).

Update: Facebook has censored the WSJ, in spite of the WSJ citing evidence from a range of prominent medical sources, such as the New England Journal of Medicine. Maybe Facebook should censor itself. Facebook has long been a dumptser-fire, but people continue to use it as their only news source.

We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April

Emphasis added.

Covid cases have dropped 77% in six weeks. Experts should level with the public about the good news

Amid the dire Covid warnings, one crucial fact has been largely ignored: Cases are down 77% over the past six weeks. If a medication slashed cases by 77%, we’d call it a miracle pill. Why is the number of cases plummeting much faster than experts predicted?

In large part because natural immunity from prior infection is far more common than can be measured by testing. Testing has been capturing only from 10% to 25% of infections, depending on when during the pandemic someone got the virus. Applying a time-weighted case capture average of 1 in 6.5 to the cumulative 28 million confirmed cases would mean about 55% of Americans have natural immunity.

Now add people getting vaccinated. As of this week, 15% of Americans have received the vaccine, and the figure is rising fast. Former Food and Drug Commissioner Scott Gottlieb estimates 250 million doses will have been delivered to some 150 million people by the end of March.

There is reason to think the country is racing toward an extremely low level of infection. As more people have been infected, most of whom have mild or no symptoms, there are fewer Americans left to be infected. At the current trajectory, I expect COVID will be mostly gone by April, allowing Americans to resume normal life.

...

WIND: yep, obvious back in early February that the “war” has largely been won.

But “normal life”... no—politicians will see to that. They will not gladly acknowledge their tryanny and evils, let alone the vast carpet bombing of America by policy.