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Are Increases in COVID-19 unrelated to levels of vaccination across 68 countries and 2947 counties in the United States?
re: COVID-19
How do I know if it's true or not? Science no longer exists in terms of what one can trust.
Maybe it’s true—it would explain a lot, namely that COVID isn’t already gone after very high vaccination rates in many places. But comparing countries is a risky proposition. Counties in the USA... that’s more persuasive. And both agree.
See also: Breakthrough Infections, Deaths Among COVID-19 Vaccinated Rose in Recent Months: CDC
Increases in COVID-19 are unrelated to levels of vaccination across 68 countries and 2947 counties in the United States
Vaccines currently are the primary mitigation strategy to combat COVID-19 around the world. For instance, the narrative related to the ongoing surge of new cases in the United States (US) is argued to be driven by areas with low vaccination rates [1]. A similar narrative also has been observed in countries, such as Germany and the United Kingdom [2]. At the same time, Israel that was hailed for its swift and high rates of vaccination has also seen a substantial resurgence in COVID-19 cases [3]. We investigate the relationship between the percentage of population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases across 68 countries and across 2947 counties in the US.
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At the country-level, there appears to be no discernable relationship between percentage of population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases in the last 7 days (Fig. 1). In fact, the trend line suggests a marginally positive association such that countries with higher percentage of population fully vaccinated have higher COVID-19 cases per 1 million people...
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Across the US counties too, the median new COVID-19 cases per 100,000 people in the last 7 days is largely similar across the categories of percent population fully vaccinated (Fig. 2). Notably there is also substantial county variation in new COVID-19 cases within categories of percentage population fully vaccinated. There also appears to be no significant signaling of COVID-19 cases decreasing with higher percentages of population fully vaccinated (Fig. 3)...
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Since full immunity from the vaccine is believed to take about 2 weeks after the second dose, we conducted sensitivity analyses by using a 1-month lag on the percentage population fully vaccinated for countries and US counties. The above findings of no discernable association between COVID-19 cases and levels of fully vaccinated was also observed when we considered a 1-month lag on the levels of fully vaccinated...
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The sole reliance on vaccination as a primary strategy to mitigate COVID-19 and its adverse consequences needs to be re-examined, especially considering the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant and the likelihood of future variants. Other pharmacological and non-pharmacological interventions may need to be put in place alongside increasing vaccination rates. Such course correction, especially with regards to the policy narrative, becomes paramount with emerging scientific evidence on real world effectiveness of the vaccines.
...In summary, even as efforts should be made to encourage populations to get vaccinated it should be done so with humility and respect. Stigmatizing populations can do more harm than good...
WIND: if only our public health agencies could be trusted to follow the science. Is this the real deal?
Now let’s get busy firing doctors, nurses, firefighters and police that remain unvaccinated, even if they have natural immunity. That hero thing is just not working for our leaders any more.
