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WSJ: Maybe With Delta the CDC Will Learn to Count

I called for random sampling of the population for COVID antibodies a year or so ago.

WSJ: Maybe With Delta the CDC Will Learn to Count

July 31, 2021

Britain has seen its Delta surge wane rather quickly. And unlike the U.S., it is not flopping around in the half-dark about what’s going on. Thanks to biweekly blood-sample surveys, the U.K. government knows how many people have antibodies from vaccination and/or infection. Thanks to surveys and modeling it also has a good idea how many are currently infected, invariably a multiple of those who get a positive test.

This is infinitely more useful and relevant than any information U.S. authorities produce, a point starting to break through thanks to former FDA Commissioner Scott Gottlieb’s appearances on CNBC.

... For the record, 92% of Brits now show evidence of antibodies.

And America? Weirdly, we had to rely on guerilla statisticians like Youyang Gu of MIT to know how many might have had Covid. Models are imperfect but they bring us closer to the truth than “trackers” that currently highlight a total of 35 million positive tests, when it’s highly probable that at least 130 million Americans have contracted the virus. As for the antibody total that would tell us how near we are to herd immunity, forget it.

Dr. Gottlieb speculated on Friday that, precisely because so many now would be symptomless and not seek testing, it’s possible one million are being infected daily with the Delta variant, about 13 times the confirmed cases.

...

WIND: So if nearly 60% of Americans have had the vaccine (~190 million and counting), and 130 million have contracted it (some overlap of the two groups, we should be at herd immunity.

The leaders at the FDA and CDC have for reasons of politics or leadership incompetence never done the right research, preferring to keep the American people masked, locked-down, financially destroyed, and fearful. These aholes and the politicians following their lead should all be in prison for life for the damage they have wrought.

Do we even have a COVID problem any more? Any more than any other virus, like RSV? The hospitalization and deaths figures nationwide suggest that it’s just a virus we have to live with like othe viruses.


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