As of July 2020, Up to 300 Million People May Be Infected by COVID-19, Stanford Guru John Ioannidis Says + Feckless Leaders Killing People
See SARS CoV2 aka COVID-19: Time to Steepen the Curve and Accelerate Infection of Low-Risk People.
The economic and personal carnage from COVID-19 continues. No, not from the virus.
Dr. Ioannidis: Globally, the lockdown measures have increased the number of people at risk of starvation to 1.1 billion, and they are putting at risk millions of lives, with the potential resurgence of tuberculosis, childhood diseases like measles where vaccination programs are disrupted, and malaria.
At 1000 times less than the impact of the 1918 flu (see interview), COVID-19 is now a world-wide tragedy because of feckless “leaders”. These politicians are indirectly killing and damaging people by the tens of millions (a gross underestimate). They are unwilling or unable to use any rational form of risk assessment. And that includes most “experts”—nothing more than fools sporting fancy degrees but lacking all wisdom and perspective of the real world.
Protect the high-risk population with special measures, but let everyone else get on with life. Because people are literally dying and many more will die from the bad policies in place.
But not all experts are fools—see the excerpts below.
The “leadership” is needlessly destroying lives and indirectly killing people, all for something that is now known to be little more than a blip versus overall death rates (check out the California baseline death rate vs COVID as just one example).
It is no accident that the social programming* “reporting” on the infection rate is a daily mainstay while the death rate is all but ignored. And not a peep is heard of the only meaningful metric for managing this crisis: the excess death rate — deaths vs expected baseline deaths had COVID-19 not occurred.
Worse, the “death rate” does not take into account lifespan years. The vast majority of COVID-19 deaths are of those having comorbidities—in other words, they might have died at the drop of a hat from just about anything just about any time. Sad no matter what, but most such victims had little life left and of poor quality (pain and suffering, dementia, etc).
If an 81 year-old requiring special care has a life expectancy of a few (low quality) life-years at best, why are we crushing the lives of tens of millions of low-risk people and literally killing younger people from other causes, people who lose 20/30/40 lifespan years? From a public health policy perspective, this is not just bad risk management, it is cruel and vicious.
* The propaganda produced by the “media”, which was once known as “news”.
Up to 300 Million People May Be Infected by Covid-19, Stanford Guru John Ioannidis Says
Leading epidemiologist Dr. John Ioannidis of Stanford University estimates that about 150-300 million or more people have already been infected by COVID-19 around the world, far more than the 10 million documented cases.
In an interview with Greek Reporter, the Greek American scientist warns, however, that the draconian lockdowns imposed in many countries may have the opposite effect of what was intended. “Globally, the lockdown measures have increased the number of people at risk of starvation to 1.1 billion, and they are putting at risk millions of lives,” he says.
It was just three months ago, soon after the onset of the coronavirus outbreak in the US, when Dr. Ioannidis wrote an article for the journal STAT excoriating the US and other countries for not conducting enough testing, and deploring how little real evidence there was of true infection rates, which he feared might soar and create widespread societal unrest.
Dr. Ioannidis: ...a very crude estimate might suggest that about 150-300 million or more people have already been infected around the world, far more than the 10 million documented cases. It could even be substantially larger, if antibodies do not develop in a large share of people who get through the infection without symptoms or sparse symptoms.
Dr. Ioannidis: 0.05% to 1% is a reasonable range for what the data tell us now for the infection fatality rate, with a median of about 0.25%. The death rate in a given country depends a lot on the age-structure, who are the people infected, and how they are managed. For people younger than 45, the infection fatality rate is almost 0%. For 45 to 70, it is probably about 0.05-0.3%. For those above 70, it escalates substantially, to 1% or higher for those over 85. For frail, debilitated elderly people with multiple health problems who are infected in nursing homes, it can go up to 25% during major outbreaks in these facilities.
Dr. Ioannidis: ...COVID-19 has become a notifiable disease so it is readily recorded in death certificates. What we do know, however, is that the vast majority of people who die with a COVID-19 label have at least one and typically many other comorbidities. This means that often they have other reasons that would lead them to death. The relative contribution of COVID-19 needs very careful audit and evaluation of medical records.
Dr. Ioannidis: ...In terms of numbers of lives lost, so far the COVID-19 impact is about 1% of the 1918 influenza. In terms of quality-adjusted person-years lost, the impact of COVID-19 is about 0.1% of 1918 influenza, since the 1918 influenza killed mostly young healthy people (average age 28), while the average age of death with COVID-19 is 80 years, with several comorbidities.
Dr. Ioannidis: The predictions of most mathematical models in terms of how many beds and how many ICU beds would be required were astronomically wrong. Indeed, the health system was not overrun in any location in the USA, although several hospitals were stressed. Conversely, the health care system was severely damaged in many places because of the measures taken.
Dr. Ioannidis: ...“Major consequences on the economy, society and mental health” have already occurred. I hope they are reversible, and this depends to a large extent on whether we can avoid prolonging the draconian lockdowns and manage to deal with COVID-19 in a smart, precision-risk targeted approach, rather than blindly shutting down everything... Globally, the lockdown measures have increased the number of people at risk of starvation to 1.1 billion, and they are putting at risk millions of lives, with the potential resurgence of tuberculosis, childhood diseases like measles where vaccination programs are disrupted, and malaria. I hope that policymakers look at the big picture of all the potential problems and not only on the very important, but relatively thin slice of evidence that is COVID-19.
WIND: there you have it, a voice of sanity. Glad to see that at least one expert has something adult to say.
Will our leaders listen? Nope.
Since our leaders will not listen and persist in killer policies, the public is wholly justified in revolting against restrictions that damage lives and livelihoods for years or decades to come based on false premises and GIGO data and feckless risk management.
Oh, and that’s setting aside the deaths caused by infantile COVID-19 policies, which will at this point will surely dwarf deaths from COVID-10 itself. Killer politicians are in control.
Where does the Constitution allow for constitutional rights to be blasted away by fiat, for a pandemic or other reason? These leaders are wiping their asses using the Constitution as toilet paper. Calling COVID-19 a “war” does not cut it. Shame on the feckless Supreme Court—a politicized and polarized group of out of touch losers unable and unwilling to protect the most basic rights this country was founded on.